2007 Results
Hillary still ahead 2-1 over Obama among City of Buffalo Democrats; increases her lead among African American Voters
Williamsville, New York - Goldhaber Research Associates, LLC (GRA) announces that close to two-fifths of all registered Democrats in the City of Buffalo continue to favor Hillary, while only a fifth favors Obama, as their ’08 presidential nominee. Among Democratic voters living in the City, however, a significantly higher percentage of African Americans (37%) favored Hillary against Obama (20%). In an earlier poll of 411 registered democrats in the City of Buffalo conducted February 13-18, 2007, 28% of African Americans favored Hillary and 27% favored Obama.
GRA, the area’s largest market research firm, conducted the poll, which surveyed 282 registered democratic voters, who lived in the City of Buffalo. The poll was conducted April 19-24, 2007. At the 95% confidence level, this poll has a margin of error of +/- 5.8%.
|
Feburary Poll |
April Poll |
Feburary Poll |
April Poll |
|
Overall |
Overall |
African Americans |
Caucasians |
African Americans |
Caucasians |
Sen. Hillary Clinton |
39% |
42% |
28% |
45% |
37% |
50% |
Sen. Barack Obama |
19% |
18% |
27% |
13% |
21% |
15% |
[Poll conducted April 2007]
Q) If the democratic primary were held today, for whom would you most likely vote?
|
Ethnicity |
Gener |
|
Total |
White |
Afr. Amer . |
Hisp. |
Asian |
Native Amer. |
Other |
Ref |
Total |
Male |
Female |
|
Base |
282 |
127 |
136 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
7 |
282 |
129 |
151 |
Senator Joe Biden |
1
0.4% |
1
0.8% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
1
0.4% |
1
0.8% |
0
0.0% |
Senator Christopher Dodd |
1
0.4% |
0
0.0% |
1
0.7% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
1
0.4% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
Former Senator John Edwards |
14
5.0% |
8
6.3% |
6
4.4% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
14
5.0% |
9
7.0% |
5
3.3% |
Former Senator Mike Gravel |
2
0.7% |
1
0.8% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
1
14.3% |
2
0.7% |
1
0.8% |
1
0.7% |
Representative Dennis Kucinich |
2
0.7% |
2
1.6% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
2
0.7% |
2
1.6% |
0
0.0% |
Senator Barack Obama |
52
18.4% |
19
15.0% |
28
20.6% |
1
100.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
4
44.4% |
0
0.0% |
52
18.4% |
30
23.3%
+ |
22
14.6%
- |
Senator Hillary Clinton |
118
41.8% |
63
49.6%
++ |
50
36.8%
- |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
3
33.3% |
2
28.6% |
118
41.8% |
47
36.4%
- |
70
46.4%
+ |
Governor Bill Richardson |
4
1.4% |
3
2.4% |
1
0.7% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
4
1.4% |
3
2.3% |
1
0.7% |
Don't know/Not sure/Undecided
(DO NOT READ) |
77
27.3% |
29
22.8% |
43
31.6% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
2
22.2% |
3
42.9% |
77
22.5% |
29
22.5%
- |
48
31.8%
+ |
Refused (DO NOT READ) |
11
3.9% |
1
0.8%
-- |
7
5.1% |
0
0.0% |
0
0.0% |
2
100.0% |
0
0.0% |
1
14.3% |
11
3.9% |
7
5.4% |
4
2.6% |
[Poll conducted Feburary 2007]
Q) If the democratic primary were held today, for whom would you most likely vote?
|
Ethnicity |
Gener |
|
Total |
White |
Afr. Amer . |
Hisp. |
Asian |
Native Amer. |
Other |
Ref |
Total |
Male |
Female |
| Base |
411 |
228 |
155 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
11 |
3 |
4101 |
202 |
206 |
Senator Joe Biden |
11
3%
|
10
4%
91%
|
1
1%
9% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
11
3%
|
9
4%
82%
|
2
1%
18%
|
Senator Christopher Dodd |
2
0%
|
1
0%
50%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
2
0%
|
0
0%
0% |
1
0%
50%
|
Former Senator John Edwards |
17
4%
|
14
6%
82%
|
3
2%
18%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
17
4%
|
11
5%
65%
|
6
3%
35%
|
Former Senator Mike Gravel |
3
1%
|
3
1%
100%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
3
1%
|
2
1%
67%
|
1
0%
33% |
Representative Dennis Kucinich |
4
1%
|
2
1%
50%
|
2
1%
50%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
4
1%
|
3
1%
75%
|
1
0%
25%
|
Senator Barack Obama |
77
19%
|
30
13%
39% |
42
27%
55%
|
2
18%
3%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
3
27%
4%
|
0
0%
0% |
77
19%
|
46
23%
60%
|
31
15%
40%
|
Former Governor Tom Vilsack |
3
1%
|
2
1%
100%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
3
1%
|
3
1%
100%
|
0
0%
0% |
Senator Hillary Clinton |
159
39%
|
103
45%
65%
|
43
28%
27%
|
7
64%
4%
|
2
100%
1%
|
0
0%
0% |
4
36%
3%
|
0
0%
0% |
159
39%
|
67
33%
42%
|
90
44%
57%
|
Governor Bill Richardson |
5
1%
|
4
2%
80%
|
1
1%
20%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
5
1%
|
5
2%
100%
|
0
0%
0% |
Don't know/Not sure/Undecided
(DO NOT READ) |
122
30%
|
56
25%
46%
|
57
37%
47%
|
2
18%
2%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
4
36%
3%
|
3
100%
2%
|
122
30%
|
53
26%
43%
|
69
33%
57%
|
Refused (DO NOT READ) |
8
2%
|
2
1%
25%
|
6
4%
75%
|
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
0
0%
0% |
8
2%
|
3
1%
38%
|
5
2%
63%
|
Any use of these results must cite Dr. Gerald Goldhaber and Goldhaber Research Associates, LLC
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