DANGER: WINTER IS COMING... AND NOT IN THE GAME OF THRONES

Oct 30, 2020
John Steinbeck's last novel, published in 1961, was entitled "The Winter of Our Discontent", a title that came from the first two lines of William Shakespeare's "Richard III": "Now is the winter of our discontent..." Whether Steinbeck foretold the future 60 years ago or Shakespeare 428 years ago, we are definitely facing a tragic Covid winter of discontent. As I write this newsletter towards the end of October, 2020, almost 9 million Americans (at a minimum) have contracted Covid-19 and sadly, 227,000 of them have died. And, we are doing worse at fighting Covid than most of the world. While the United States represents 4% of the world's population, we account for approximately 20% of the Covid cases and deaths. Clearly, what we are doing isn't working, and according to the latest predictive model from the highly respected University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), if our behavior as a nation doesn't sharply change, we could be facing over 511,000 deaths by the end of February, 2021. That means, we would more than DOUBLE the number of deaths we have experienced after eight months of Covid-19 in THE NEXT FOUR MONTHS. 

The same institute (IHME), in a recent study, predicted that we could save 130,000 lives if 95% of us wore masks whenever we came into contact with people, especially within a 6-10 foot range of us. The lead author of the study and the Director of the IHME, Christopher Murray stated, "We think the key point here is that there's a huge winter surge coming...and universal mask use can reduce an individual's risk of contracting Covid-19 by as much as 40%." Dr. Murray is first to say that the model's conclusions are based, among other factors, on our behavior. Simply stated, if we want to avoid catastrophic death tolls, we, as a society, must adopt mask-wearing as a routine and continuous practice for the foreseeable future.

And, how long will that be? Our nation's leading expert on viruses and vaccines, Dr. Anthony Fauci, now predicts that IF we have a safe and effective vaccine approved by the FDA by the end of 2020 or the beginning of 2021, it will probably take most of 2021 until sufficient numbers of us have access to and have chosen to use the vaccine...no certainty according to polls which indicate only about 1/2 of us would take a Covid-19 vaccine. Dr. Fauci and other infectious disease experts are somewhat confident that of the more than 150 coronavirus vaccines in various stages of development around the world, perhaps 1-2 of the 5 leading candidate vaccines now in Stage 3 testing, may soon be ready for FDA Emergency Use Authorization, possibly by the end of this year.

What does that mean? If a safe and effective vaccine is authorized for emergency use by the FDA, it probably will be immediately distributed to first responders, health care workers and law enforcement professionals, along with those at the highest risk of exposure and a deadly outcome, seniors in nursing homes and hospitals. Although the government, through Operation Warp Speed, has committed to producing 300 million doses of at least 1-2 of the vaccine finalists even before the safety and efficacy results are in, this is a gamble that could be lost if the results are not positive. However, even if the FDA concludes, after being advised by an independent board of health and scientific experts, that 1 or more vaccines is safe and effective and ready for distribution, it will take several months, perhaps even an entire year to distribute the vaccine to all who want it. 

What's important to realize is that no vaccine will be 100% effective. Think of the flu shot. Only about 1/2 of us get one every year even though it may only be about 50-60% effective in preventing the flu, depending on the type of flu strain and its severity in the U.S. We may, in fact, need TWO doses of the winning Covid-19 vaccine(s), thus requiring over 600 million doses to be manufactured and distributed, again, assuming most of us choose to be vaccinated.

In short, we all hope for and want a vaccine for Covid-19, certainly as soon as possible. But the reality is that it could be the better part of a year before not only is a vaccine developed that is safe and effective, but that enough of us choose to be vaccinated for it to be effective throughout the United States. Another dose of reality: most vaccines take 10-15 years to develop, and the fastest ever developed, for the mumps, took scientists four years. While we may want to see the glass as 1/2 full, I for one, am committed to wearing my mask for at least another year so that our "winter of discontent" is somewhat diminished. Just remember, folks, your health affects my health and my health affects your health. WEAR YOUR MASK!

Murder Inc.: How Unregulated Industry Kills or Injures Thousands of Americans Every Year... and What You Can Do About It will be released on audiobook in November, narrated by acclaimed Jazz vocalist, Marcus Goldhaber and featuring Broadway actress and 2020 Helen Hayes Award winning actress, Shirine Babb as Erin Brockovich.

Available exclusively at Amazon, Audible and iTunes, get the audiobook of Murder, Inc. for yourself, your loved ones, and your co-workers just in time for the holidays!

You can
listen to a few clips now on the website.

By Gerald Goldhaber 07 May, 2024
Last month, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) finalized strict limits on PFAS, so-called “forever chemicals”, in drinking water that will require utilities to reduce them to the lowest level they can be reliably measured. Officials say this will reduce exposure for 100 million people and help prevent thousands of illnesses, including cancers.
By Gerald Goldhaber 16 Apr, 2024
Could that colorful stash of cleaning supplies under your kitchen sink, in your broom closets and around the washer and dryer contain toxic compounds that might significantly affect your health and the environment? Unfortunately, for many common household cleaning products, the answer is too often “yes.”
By Gerald Goldhaber 13 Mar, 2024
Since the pandemic, when E-Bikes first became a big deal in NYC, with almost everyone demanding that food, toilet paper and other products be brought to their doorsteps, E-Bikes have become one of the leading causes of fires in NYC. What are E-Bikes and why are they so dangerous. First of all, an E-Bike is an electric bicycle, typically powered by a lithium-ion battery, known mostly for its longevity, lasting typically ten times longer than lead-acid batteries, often exceeding 5 years. Lithium-ion batteries are generally safe. If you follow proper storage, charging, and discarding procedures, they are unlikely to fail or catch fire. However, at least in NYC, where there are over 65,000 E-Bikes, mostly driven by food-delivery personnel working for companies such as Uber Eats or Grubhub, and even work commuters, that is not always the case.
By Gerald Goldhaber 05 Feb, 2024
If you are like most Americans suffering through this nasty, snow and ice-driven extremely cold winter, you probably have dreams of flying somewhere warm to lounge on the beach while sipping margaritas (that's my tribute to the late Jimmy Buffett ). If you can afford the time and money to fly away to your dream winter holiday in the sun, you may still be worrying if your flight to paradise is safe. And worry you should, especially if you are booked on a Boeing 737 Max 9 aircraft.
By Gerald Goldhaber 29 Nov, 2023
Imagine a group of 10-year olds sitting in a darkened room, with a bunch of their "friends" engaged in a discussion about whom to kill while playing a game of Russian Roulette. This is NOT a pretend game. Virtual reality goggles are marketed to children as young as ten years old. These goggles and other smart toys are listed in the 38th edition of Trouble in Toyland, the annual listing of holiday toys that pose hazards for children, released by the Massachusetts chapter of the Public Interest Research Group (PIRG) If you have doubts about the safety of such "hi-tech" toys, last month, an 11-year-old girl was kidnapped by a man she encountered while playing a game online. Fortunately, she was found safe a short time later, about 135 miles away from her home. The game, Roblox, is one of the most popular mobile games this year.
By Gerald Goldhaber 08 Nov, 2023
Last month in this newsletter, I wrote about several of our favorite foods that, while they are legally sold in the U.S., despite known health issues associated with them, have been banned throughout Europe, Canada and other developed nations, including Australia, Japan and New Zealand. One of the chemicals I wrote about was Brominated Vegetable Oil or BVO whose main ingredient, Bromine, the element found in brominated flame retardants, can build up in the body and potentially lead to memory loss, as well as skin and nerve problems. BVO is most commonly found in smaller grocery store brands and regional beverages, including some Food Lion-brand sodas, some Walmart branded Great Value-brand sodas, and Sun Drop citrus soda, manufactured by the makers of Dr. Pepper. It keeps the citrus flavoring in fruit-flavored beverages from floating to the top of the drink.
By Gerald Goldhaber 05 Oct, 2023
1. Skittles. Mars Co , manufacturer of Skittles, was named in a class action lawsuit filed in California last year claiming that Skittles contains titanium dioxide, used by Mars to make its Skittles look brighter and more colorful, while at the same time causing irritation to the eyes, nose and throat and, more seriously, having the potential for causing reproductive damage in humans. The European Union, which has banned Skittles, claims that titanium dioxide may also be a human carcinogen. 2. Mountain Dew & Fresca . Americans who “do the Dew” might be surprised to learn the product contains brominated vegetable oil. BVO is banned in Japan and the European Union because it contains bromine, the element found in brominated flame retardants, which can build up in the body and potentially lead to memory loss, as well as skin and nerve problems. The grapefruit-flavored soda, Fresca, also contains the ingredient. 3. Kraft Stove Top Stuffing . Kraft Stove Top stuffing might make weeknight dinners easier, but it also contains the same BHT discussed earlier and found in American breakfast cereals, including Honey Bunches of Oats and even the popular Wheat Thins, as well as BHA, which as we have already seen, at high doses causes cancer in rats, mice and hamsters, thus resulting in bans in the EU, Japan and elsewhere. 4. Little Debbie Swiss Rolls. Products in the European Union containing Yellow 5 and Red 40 carry warnings that they cause adverse effects in children, but you won’t find that warning on a box of Little Debbie Swiss Rolls in the U.S. Norway and Austria have banned the snack cakes outright. Some cereals, such as Lucky Charms, also use Yellow 5, Yellow 6 and Red 40, despite being known to cause itching and hives for some. 5. Ritz Crackers and Coffee-mate. Trans fats were officially banned in the U.S. in 2018; however, some trans fats such as partially hydrogenated soybean and cottonseed oils can still be found in popular products such as Ritz Crackers, Coffee-mate creamers and even those buttery Pillsbury Biscuits. These ingredients are also banned in Switzerland, Austria, Hungary, Iceland, Norway and Denmark. I could go on but you get the picture. As the Warnings Doctor, my advice to you is the same advice I got from my Jewish grandmother: "If it's from the farm, it's probably great for you, but if it's from a factory, not so great!"
By Gerald Goldhaber 05 Sep, 2023
What are PFAS? PFAS are a group of manmade chemicals used in a vast number of consumer and industrial products. They’re often referred to as “forever chemicals,” because most don’t break down. PFAS stands for per-and polyfluoroalkyl substances, which contain a strong carbon-fluorine bond that allows them to accumulate over time in the environment and in the bodies of animals and people, posing health risks. PFAS chemicals might also be thought of as “everywhere chemicals,” since they’ve become so common in the products we use every day.
By Gerald Goldhaber 03 Aug, 2023
A new energy drink has taken the market for such beverages by storm and have achieved a cult like status thanks in no small part to the fame of the beverage's creators, YouTube stars Logan Paul and KSI, who together have over 40 million subscribers. The drink is branded Prime Energy and is a highly caffeinated beverage in brightly colored cans with flavors such as Ice Pop and Tropical Punch.
By Gerald Goldhaber 06 Jul, 2023
A month ago, I had no idea what AirNow was or what its ratings indicated. Today, it is an App on my IPhone that tells me the air quality rating for a given city at a given time. AirNow's scale ranges from 0-500. The higher the AQI value, the greater the level of air pollution and the greater the health concern. For example, an AQI value under 50 represents good air quality, a rating between 50-100 is moderately acceptable, a rating between 100 and 150 is unhealthy for sensitive groups (e.g., elderly or very young people, folks with lung or heart conditions, etc.), a rating of 150-200 is unhealthy for most people (and is typically called the Red Zone), 200-300 is very unhealthy and over 300 is hazardous for everyone. Let me repeat: the rating in Buffalo was 179, clearly in the danger zone of unhealthy for most people.
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