DANGER: WINTER IS COMING... AND NOT IN THE GAME OF THRONES
John Steinbeck's last novel, published in 1961, was entitled "The Winter of Our Discontent", a title that came from the first two lines of William Shakespeare's "Richard III": "Now is the winter of our discontent..." Whether Steinbeck foretold the future 60 years ago or Shakespeare 428 years ago, we are definitely facing a tragic Covid winter of discontent. As I write this newsletter towards the end of October, 2020, almost 9 million Americans (at a minimum) have contracted Covid-19 and sadly, 227,000 of them have died. And, we are doing worse at fighting Covid than most of the world. While the United States represents 4% of the world's population, we account for approximately 20% of the Covid cases and deaths. Clearly, what we are doing isn't working, and according to the latest predictive model from the highly respected University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), if our behavior as a nation doesn't sharply change, we could be facing over 511,000 deaths by the end of February, 2021. That means, we would more than DOUBLE the number of deaths we have experienced after eight months of Covid-19 in THE NEXT FOUR MONTHS.
The same institute (IHME), in a recent study, predicted that we could save 130,000 lives if 95% of us wore masks whenever we came into contact with people, especially within a 6-10 foot range of us. The lead author of the study and the Director of the IHME, Christopher Murray stated, "We think the key point here is that there's a huge winter surge coming...and universal mask use can reduce an individual's risk of contracting Covid-19 by as much as 40%." Dr. Murray is first to say that the model's conclusions are based, among other factors, on our behavior. Simply stated, if we want to avoid catastrophic death tolls, we, as a society, must adopt mask-wearing as a routine and continuous practice for the foreseeable future.
And, how long will that be? Our nation's leading expert on viruses and vaccines, Dr. Anthony Fauci, now predicts that IF we have a safe and effective vaccine approved by the FDA by the end of 2020 or the beginning of 2021, it will probably take most of 2021 until sufficient numbers of us have access to and have chosen to use the vaccine...no certainty according to polls which indicate only about 1/2 of us would take a Covid-19 vaccine. Dr. Fauci and other infectious disease experts are somewhat confident that of the more than 150 coronavirus vaccines in various stages of development around the world, perhaps 1-2 of the 5 leading candidate vaccines now in Stage 3 testing, may soon be ready for FDA Emergency Use Authorization, possibly by the end of this year.
What does that mean? If a safe and effective vaccine is authorized for emergency use by the FDA, it probably will be immediately distributed to first responders, health care workers and law enforcement professionals, along with those at the highest risk of exposure and a deadly outcome, seniors in nursing homes and hospitals. Although the government, through Operation Warp Speed, has committed to producing 300 million doses of at least 1-2 of the vaccine finalists even before the safety and efficacy results are in, this is a gamble that could be lost if the results are not positive. However, even if the FDA concludes, after being advised by an independent board of health and scientific experts, that 1 or more vaccines is safe and effective and ready for distribution, it will take several months, perhaps even an entire year to distribute the vaccine to all who want it.
What's important to realize is that no vaccine will be 100% effective. Think of the flu shot. Only about 1/2 of us get one every year even though it may only be about 50-60% effective in preventing the flu, depending on the type of flu strain and its severity in the U.S. We may, in fact, need TWO doses of the winning Covid-19 vaccine(s), thus requiring over 600 million doses to be manufactured and distributed, again, assuming most of us choose to be vaccinated.
In short, we all hope for and want a vaccine for Covid-19, certainly as soon as possible. But the reality is that it could be the better part of a year before not only is a vaccine developed that is safe and effective, but that enough of us choose to be vaccinated for it to be effective throughout the United States. Another dose of reality: most vaccines take 10-15 years to develop, and the fastest ever developed, for the mumps, took scientists four years. While we may want to see the glass as 1/2 full, I for one, am committed to wearing my mask for at least another year so that our "winter of discontent" is somewhat diminished. Just remember, folks, your health affects my health and my health affects your health. WEAR YOUR MASK!
Murder Inc.: How Unregulated Industry Kills or Injures Thousands of Americans Every Year... and What You Can Do About It will be released on audiobook in November, narrated by acclaimed Jazz vocalist, Marcus Goldhaber and featuring Broadway actress and 2020 Helen Hayes Award winning actress, Shirine Babb as Erin Brockovich.
Available exclusively at Amazon, Audible and iTunes, get the audiobook of Murder, Inc. for yourself, your loved ones, and your co-workers just in time for the holidays!
You can
listen to a few clips now on the website.

Recent budget cuts at the Health and Safety Science Services (HSSS) have sent shockwaves through the scientific and public health communities, threatening the very infrastructure designed to protect us from disease outbreaks, food contamination, and medical crises. These cuts have affected food inspectors, vaccine scientists, Alzheimer’s researchers, and experts studying bird flu, among others—positions that are essential to ensuring public safety and advancing critical medical research. The consequences of these decisions will be dire, potentially reversing years of progress and exposing society to increased health risks.

As Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (DGE) pushes for sweeping reforms and cost-cutting across federal agencies, concerns are mounting over the impact on critical public safety roles. Among the most alarming areas affected is the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), where staff reductions may threaten the lives of millions of air travelers. The DGE, established with a mandate to streamline government operations and reduce bureaucratic waste, has come under fire for its aggressive downsizing tactics. Critics warn that essential safety personnel, including air traffic controllers, are being cut under the guise of efficiency, leaving the nation's airspace dangerously understaffed.

Biden Administration former Surgeon General, Vivek Murthy, on his way out of office, issued a Surgeon General's Advisory calling for new warnings on alcoholic beverages related to the cancer risk from consuming alcoholic beverages. Given that most individuals are unaware of the connection that consumption of alcoholic beverages can increase the risk for at least seven types of cancer, Murthy said in his advisory: "Given the conclusive evidence on the cancer risk from alcohol consumption and the Office of the Surgeon General's responsibility to inform the American public of the best available scientific evidence, the Surgeon General recommends an update to the Surgeon General's warning label for alcohol-containing beverages to include a cancer risk warning."

In my best-selling book, Murder, Inc.: How Unregulated Industry Kills or Injures Thousands of Americans Every Year...And What You Can Do About It , I propose a safety triad consisting of three components: manufacturers, regulators and consumers. All three must function properly in order to keep us safe. Manufacturers must produce and market safe (or safe as possible) products and warn us about any potential hazards so that we can make informed choices about whether or not to purchase their product and/or how to use it safely. Regulators , by imposing and implementing necessary rules and regulations, should hold manufacturers accountable for the above stated actions and to endure that they engage in "principled disclosure" by warning us about any potential hazards and dangers associated with their products. And, finally, Consumers , especially in the absence of well-meaning manufacturers or competent, well-intentioned regulators, must be highly diligent by researching products and learning about potential hazards prior to buying and/or using them. All three, manufacturers, regulators and consumers, must perform their jobs or the safety triad may fail to protect us and our loved ones. Think of a three-legged stool that distributes the weight of a person sitting on the stool, equally among the three legs. But what would happen if we leaned heavily to one side of the stool, essentially spreading the weight that was once borne by three legs to the two legs remaining braced to the floor. Unfortunately the third leg is no longer contributing to the stability of the stool, which may actually collapse because the two remaining legs may not be able to handle the amount of weight that was intended to be equally distributed among all three legs.

If you are one of the millions of Americans who recently purchased one of several Boar's Head Deli Products, you may have bought a product containing deadly listeria bacteria. At least nine people have died and 57 have been hospitalized from a listeria outbreak linked to deli meat, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In late July, Boar’s Head, a deli meat and cheese company, expanded a previously announced recall to include at least 7 million pounds of deli products the company says may have been contaminated by listeria amid a nationwide outbreak. The recall spans 71 products and includes meat meant to be sliced at retail delis along with prepackaged meat and poultry products sold at retail locations, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

In my best-selling book, Murder, Inc.: How Unregulated Industry Kills or Injures Thousands of Americans Every Year...And What You Can Do About It (Hartford, Ct.:PYP Press, 2020), I discuss the need for "principled disclosure" from corporations about potential hazards that could hurt or kill us. I also discuss the role we as consumers play by seeking information about those hazards and finally, the role various regulatory agencies must play to initiate and enforce meaningful regulations on industry so that they do, indeed, engage in "principled disclosure" (i.e., tell the truth). In order to carry out its mandate, any regulatory agency or department charged with the responsibility of protecting the general public or consumers or workers and so on, must be empowered to both set the safety and hazard warnings rules and take aggressive, impactful action when they are not followed. Unfortunately, the U.S. Supreme Court, in a landmark 6-3 vote last month, overturned a 60-year old decision, colloquially known as "Chevron", which has the potential to undermine our government's regulatory agencies' ability to hold corporations accountable. What is the Chevron Decision and how could it impact your safety and well-being? In a unanimous ruling, the Supreme Court ruled against energy giant, Chevron, who challenged the Clean-Air Act, and instructed lower courts to defer to federal agencies when laws passed by Congress are not crystal clear. The 40-year-old decision has been the basis for upholding thousands of regulations by dozens of federal agencies, but has long been a target of conservatives and business groups who argue that it grants too much power to the executive branch, or what some critics call the administrative state. In the decades following the ruling, Chevron has been a bedrock of modern administrative law, requiring judges to defer to agencies’ reasonable interpretations of congressional statutes. But the current high court, with a 6-3 conservative majority has been increasingly skeptical of the powers of federal agencies. With a closely divided Congress, presidential administrations have increasingly turned to federal regulation to implement policy changes. Federal rules impact virtually every aspect of everyday life, from the food we eat and the cars we drive to the air we breathe and homes we live in. For example, the Biden administration has issued a whole host of new regulations on the environment, including restrictions from emissions at power plants and from vehicle tailpipes. Those actions and others could be opened up to legal challenges if judges are allowed to discount or disregard the expertise of the executive-branch agencies that put them into place. When you consider who was advocating for the overturn of Chevron, it does not bode well for consumers and their safety: groups representing the gun industry and other businesses such as tobacco, agriculture, timber and homebuilding, were among those pressing the justices to overturn the Chevron doctrine and weaken government regulation. Can you imagine the FDA being defanged by Chevron-influenced lawsuits to the point where tobacco could sell their products to teens or resume advertising on television, a practice banned by Congress since 1970. Or imagine OSHA (Occupational Safety and Health Administration) regulations being stripped away that protect worker safety? Or a CPSC (Consumer Product Safety Commission) challenged on its stringent toy regulations that are aimed at infant choking hazards? Or a Department of Agriculture no longer able to inspect meat with the rigor that industry now faces? Or a NHTSA (National Highway Traffic Safety Administration) no longer able to regulate the safety of our automobiles, especially now as we address the feasibility and safety of self-driving vehicles?

CNN recently featured its medical expert, neurologist Sanjay Gupta, narrating a very thorough documentary entitled "The Last Alzheimer's Patient" which, over a 5 year period, collected data on the latest research related to dementia, highlighting advances in new medications as well as in lifestyle changes, both of which offer promising developments that may, in some cases, reverse or, at least stop the advance of Alzheimer's, the most common form of dementia. What is Alzheimer's Disease (AD)? According to the Yale School of Medicine, AD "is a progressive disorder that damages and destroys nerve cells in the brain. Over time, the disease leads to a gradual loss of cognitive functions, including the ability to remember, reason, use language, and recognize familiar places. It can also cause a range of behavioral changes."